Forex Fundamental Analysis

What is fundamental analysis in forex ?

It's a type of market analysis whereas involving studying the economic situation of countries to trade currencies effectively. It gives information, how the big political and economical events influence forex trading.

Economic calender & who's providing ?

It's created by economists where they predict economics figures and values according to previous months.

Its contains data :

Date - Time - Currency - Data Released - Actual - Forecast - Previous

Economic data can be found at www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

What are the most important figures that influence forex market ?

Interest rate

Traditionally, if a country raises its interest rates, its currency will strengthen because investors will shift their assets to that country to gain higher returns

Employment Situation

Decreases in the payroll employment are considered as signs of a weak economic activity that could eventually lead to lower interest rates, which has negative impact on the currency

Trade Balance, budget and treasury budget

A country that has a significant Trade Balance deficit will generally have a weak currency as there will be continuous commercial selling of its currency

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

It's reported quarterly and is followed very closely as it is a primary indicator of the strength of economic activity. A high GDP figure is usually followed by expectations of higher interest rates, which is mostly positive for the currency.

Less powerfull economic indicator are

Retails sales - it's the first real indicator of the strength of consumer expenditure

Durable goods - Rising durable goods orders are normally associated with stronger economic activity and can therefore lead to higher short-term interest rates, which is usually supportive for a currency